Tue, 18 July 2017
No one has better sources in the U.S. government when it comes to North Korea's missile program than the Diplomat's Ankit Panda.
He joins Jeffrey and Scott to discuss the Hwasong-12, Hwasong-14, a very strange North Korean concert, and Ankit shares some never-before-released data on the Hwasong-12 and some KN designations.
This podcast is a joint release with The Diplomat's Asia Geopolitics Podcast.
New KN-17/Hwasong-12 Data:
Now we know the KN-17 has been tested at least 4 times with 3 failures. Two shots out of Sinpo, one of which failed during flight and one of which tipped over and exploded. One came from Pukchang Airfield and appears to have crashed in the DPRK.
Early reports of DPRK missile ‘pinwheeling’ during a failed test. The details led a lot of analysts (ourselves included) to assume this was the MaRV/Terminally Guided Scud, and thus continue to believe that the KN-17 was said Scud. However, the KN-17 is now known to be the Hwasong-12. The pictures below include some stills that may come from the pinwheel launch.
Designations we discuss:
KN-12: 122mm MRLS
KN-16: 240mm MRLS
KN-17: Hwasong-12 IRBM
KN-18: MaRV/Terminally Guided Scud
KN-19: KM-3 Coastal Defense Cruise Missile (Ground Based)
KN-20: Hwasong-14 ICBM
Links of Note:
Ankit Panda’s Twitter Feed
South Korean lawmaker says ROK intel service doubts that the Hwasong-14 reentry vehicle was successful.
Images of Note:
The new MRLS designations
That nosecap that is bothering Scott so much, posted originally by Joseph Dempsey:
Hwasong-12 launch footage shown at the concert:
Thu, 13 July 2017
Test a missile, get a pod. North Korea tested a missile. The big one. An ICBM. To discuss recent events, Aaron, Jeffrey, and Scott talk about the KN-20/Hwasong-14, how we got here, and what we know about the missile.
Links of Note:
The pod about the Hwasong-12, the immediate precursor to the Hwasong-14, including discussion of the DPRK's engine developments.
Ankit Panda's article that first mentions the KN-20 designation and that the U.S. observed the missile for around 70 minutes prior to launch (and Russian denial that the KN-20/Hwasong-14 an ICBM... a topic for another pod).
And, for your viewing pleasure, the Hwasong-14 and Kim Jong-Un doing the Smooth Criminal lean in the bottom right.